Sri Lanka General Election 2010 Prediction / Likely Results

Considering the recently held Presidential Election Results (if results are true!) the Government Coalition will have a majority in Parliament.The following is the predicted results after analyzing 2010 Presidential Election together with 2001 and 2004 General Elections.

UPFA : 124 (+4 or -4)
UNP(UNF/NDF) : 75 (+ 4 or - 4)
TNA : 18 (+-3)
EPDP: 2
SLMC: 6 (-1/-2)


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Total: 225
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But results can get change to some extent or even completely other way around,if something happen to General SF.

Note: SLMC will get above no of seats in areas where it will contest along.Also above results are including all districts as well as National List Seats.If JVP contest along they will get between 1 -5 seats which has to be deducted from UNF/NDF.

Sri Lanka Presidential Election 2010 Results:


Mahinda Rajapakse (UPFA) : 57.88% (Votes: 6,015,934)
General Sarath Fonseka (NDF): 40.15% (Votes: 4,173,185)


Sri Lanka General Election 2004 Results:


UPFA: 109 (Votes: 4,223,970 Percentage: 45.60% Seats: 92 National List: 13)
UNF: 77 (Votes: 3,504,200 Percentage: 37.83% Seats: 71 Natioanal List: 11)
TNA: 20 (Votes: 633,654 Percentage: 6.84% Seats: 20 Natioanl List: 2)
JHU: 16 (Votes: 554,076 Percentage: 5.97% Seats: 7 Natioanal List: 2)
SLMC: 5 (Votes: 186,876 Percentage: 2.02% Seats: 4 Natioanl List: 1)
UPF: 1 (Votes: 49,728 Percentage: 0.54% Seats: 1 Natioanl List: 0)
EPDP: 1 (Votes: 24,955 Percentage: 0.27% Seats: 1 Natioanl List: 0)


Total: 225
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Sri Lanka General Election 2001 Results:


UNF: 109 (Votes: 4,086,026 Percentage: 45.62% Seats: 96 National List: 13)
PA: 77 (Votes: 3,330,815 Percentage: 37.19% Seats: 66 Natioanal List: 11)
JVP: 16 (Votes: 815,353 Percentage: 9.0% Seats: 13 Natioanal List: 3)
TNA: 15 (Votes: 348,164 Percentage: 3.89% Seats: 15 Natioanl List: 1)
SLMC: 5 (Votes: 105,346 Percentage: 1.18% Seats: 5 Natioanl List: 1)
EPDP: 2 (Votes: 72,783 Percentage: 0.81% Seats: 2 Natioanl List: 0)


Total: 225
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(UNF is a coalition formed by UNP while PA & UPFA are coalitions of SLFP and some other parties-The Ruling party had a majority support but then President Chandrika Kumaranathunga dissolved the parliament using her executive presidential powers which she later said it was a big mistake done by her in her life).